Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GRIN2D

glutamate ionotropic receptor NMDA type subunit 2D

translation score 0.66, read 2026-10-27; 4 sealed predictions, 0 held; 4 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.61 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocyte progenitor cells (30 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: neramexane mesylate, orphenadrine citrate, ralfinamide +241.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 1270.82
pathways
Reactome
8 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00
proposal for GRIN2D, translation score 0.66

Knock down and overexpress GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes; measure evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.

Cell type
oligodendrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
Rule-out
If neither arm moves evoked dopamine release by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of GRIN2D in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake; α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Earlier readings: 2026-10-26 0.66; 2026-10-25 0.66; 2026-10-24 0.66; 2026-10-23 0.66.

Sealed predictions

  1. GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.24 (p 0.533) → -0.16 (p 0.682)receipt 0554
  2. GRIN2D in dopamine neurons, braak-0.12 (p 0.756) → -0.57 (p 0.109)receipt 0555
  3. GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, resilience-0.43 (p 0.133) → -0.15 (p 0.584)receipt 0078
  4. GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.10 (p 0.512) → +0.35 (p 0.024)receipt 0077

Swarm cases

receipt 0555: GRIN2D in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.36 (p 0.145, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.13. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.38 (p 0.120, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.42 (p 0.080, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.52 to -0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.36 (p 0.145, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GRIN2D in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0554: GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.38. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.01, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0078: GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, resilience

power
full sample -0.34 (p 0.084, n 55), 95% CI -0.55 to -0.08. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for age, sex and PMI: -0.30 (p 0.125, n 55). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.52 (p 0.0075); controlling for it: -0.33 (p 0.088, n 55). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.41 to -0.29, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.39 (p 0.052, n 46). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "differs in resilient donors (Lewy pathology, no parkinsonism)" for GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0077: GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.337, n 84), 95% CI -0.11 to +0.31. the interval sits on zero: probably nothing there.
confounder
adjusted for age, sex and PMI: +0.14 (p 0.204, n 84). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.09 (p 0.422); controlling for it: +0.16 (p 0.143, n 84). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.07 to +0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.14 (p 0.246, n 75). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GRIN2D in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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