Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GPD2

glycerol-3-phosphate dehydrogenase 2

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.31 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: metformin hydrochloride, metformin1.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1191

Sealed predictions

  1. GPD2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.28 (p 0.471) → +0.27 (p 0.485)receipt 1198

Swarm cases

receipt 1198: GPD2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.04 (p 0.888, n 18), 95% CI -0.49 to +0.44. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.01 (p 0.962, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.02 (p 0.928, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.17 to +0.09, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GPD2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts