Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | cell type enhanced in oligodendrocytes (506 nCPM) | 1.00 |
| chemistry Open Targets | a small-molecule pocket | 0.60 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | 2 Parkinson's papers of 132 | 0.85 |
| pathways Reactome | 10 pathways; mostly immune signalling | 0.90 |
Knock down and overexpress GNAI1 in oligodendrocytes; measure IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.
- Cell type
- oligodendrocytes
- Direction
- Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
- Molecular readout
- IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR
- Functional readout
- α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
- Rule-out
- If neither arm moves IL-1β by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
- Lab request
- CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of GNAI1 in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: IL-1β and TNF release and surface HLA-DR; α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.
Sealed predictions
- GNAI1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.15 (p 0.701) → +0.32 (p 0.407)receipt 8217
- GNAI1 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.68 (p 0.045) → +0.59 (p 0.095)receipt 8216
Swarm cases
receipt 8217: GNAI1 in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample +0.19 (p 0.444, n 18), 95% CI -0.30 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.19 (p 0.444, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.20 (p 0.424, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range +0.09 to +0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.444, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- strongest in oligodendrocytes: +0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18) vs +0.19 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GNAI1 in dopamine neurons.
follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up GNAI1 · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) +0.07 p 0.790 (needs p < 2.6e-4)
receipt 8216: GNAI1 in oligodendrocytes, braak
- power
- full sample +0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18), 95% CI +0.20 to +0.84. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18). holds up.
- composition
- oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.73 (p 6.6e-4, n 18). not the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range +0.56 to +0.71, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.61 (p 0.0069, n 18). robust.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GNAI1 in oligodendrocytes.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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