Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GAN

gigaxonin

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in urothelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.40
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
130 Parkinson's trials, 2 stopped0.97
literature
PubMed
37 Parkinson's papers of 11,7150.52
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5200

Sealed predictions

  1. GAN in dopamine neurons, braak-0.32 (p 0.407) → +0.57 (p 0.108)receipt 5209
  2. GAN in astrocytes, braak+0.08 (p 0.838) → +0.26 (p 0.499)receipt 5208

Swarm cases

receipt 5209: GAN in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.03 (p 0.915, n 18), 95% CI -0.45 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.04 (p 0.867, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.09 (p 0.728, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.09 to +0.15, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.03 (p 0.915, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GAN in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5208: GAN in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18), 95% CI -0.31 to +0.60. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.18 (p 0.471, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.18 (p 0.465, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.07 to +0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GAN in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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