Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

GABRA2

gamma-aminobutyric acid type A receptor subunit alpha2

translation score 0.64, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.30 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in bergmann glia0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: remimazolam besylate, thiamylal, primidone +721.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
1 Parkinson's papers of 3040.91
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly dopamine synapse1.00
proposal for GABRA2, translation score 0.64

Knock down and overexpress GABRA2 in astrocytes; measure evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake and α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture.

Cell type
astrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps; existing compounds already reach the inhibition arm.
Molecular readout
evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture
Rule-out
If neither arm moves evoked dopamine release by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of GABRA2 in iPSC-derived midbrain astrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake; α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. GABRA2 in astrocytes, braak+0.09 (p 0.825) → +0.20 (p 0.597)receipt 1270
  2. GABRA2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.26 (p 0.493) → +0.54 (p 0.137)receipt 1271

Swarm cases

receipt 1271: GABRA2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.33 (p 0.176, n 18), 95% CI -0.16 to +0.69. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.34 (p 0.173, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.34 (p 0.173, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.24 to +0.48, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.33 (p 0.176, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GABRA2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 1270: GABRA2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: +0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.06 to +0.19, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.08 (p 0.761, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for GABRA2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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