Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FOXP3

forkhead box P3

translation score 0.24, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (t-cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
7 Parkinson's trials, 1 stopped0.89
literature
PubMed
43 Parkinson's papers of 23,7130.50
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6720

Sealed predictions

  1. FOXP3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.51 (p 0.163) → +0.09 (p 0.825)receipt 6727

Swarm cases

receipt 6727: FOXP3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.34 (p 0.173, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.16. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.38 (p 0.116, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.56 (p 0.016, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.25, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.34 (p 0.173, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FOXP3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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