Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

FGFR3

fibroblast growth factor receptor 3

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in astrocytes (528 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: fexagratinib, nintedanib esylate, hmpl-453 +221.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 3,9850.76
pathways
Reactome
Reactome did not answer (Reactome: HTTP 429)0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7498

Sealed predictions

  1. FGFR3 in astrocytes, braak-0.26 (p 0.502) → -0.47 (p 0.204)receipt 7503
  2. FGFR3 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.88 (p 0.002) → +0.00 (p 1.000)receipt 7504

Swarm cases

receipt 7504: FGFR3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.48 (p 0.043, n 18), 95% CI -0.77 to -0.02. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.47 (p 0.051, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.53 (p 0.025, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.59 to -0.41, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.48 (p 0.043, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FGFR3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 7503: FGFR3 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.28 (p 0.265, n 18), 95% CI -0.66 to +0.22. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.188, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.18 (p 0.471, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.19, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.28 (p 0.265, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for FGFR3 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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