Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

EPO

erythropoietin

translation score 0.34, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced outside the brain (pancreatic acinar cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
5 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
66 Parkinson's papers of 13,5710.45
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly growth signalling0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3970

Sealed predictions

  1. EPO in dopamine neurons, braak+0.05 (p 0.893) → -0.69 (p 0.038)receipt 3980

Swarm cases

receipt 3980: EPO in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.36 (p 0.145, n 18), 95% CI -0.71 to +0.13. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.54 (p 0.021, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.49 to -0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.36 (p 0.145, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for EPO in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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