Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ELOVL4

ELOVL fatty acid elongase 4

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-26; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including other brain neurons; strongest in rod photoreceptor cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 3040.82
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10789

Sealed predictions

  1. ELOVL4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.76 (p 0.019) → +0.26 (p 0.493)receipt 10796

Swarm cases

receipt 10796: ELOVL4 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.44 (p 0.067, n 18), 95% CI -0.03 to +0.75. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.44 (p 0.070, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.51 (p 0.029, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.35 to +0.60, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.44 (p 0.067, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ELOVL4 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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