Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CX3CL1

C-X3-C motif chemokine ligand 1

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: quetmolimab0.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
45 Parkinson's papers of 2,2020.50
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2685

Sealed predictions

  1. CX3CL1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.45 (p 0.219) → -0.55 (p 0.121)receipt 2693

Swarm cases

receipt 2693: CX3CL1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.49 (p 0.037, n 18), 95% CI -0.78 to -0.04. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.53 (p 0.023, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.77 (p 2.1e-4, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.60 to -0.43, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.49 (p 0.037, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in astrocytes: -0.69 (p 0.0016, n 18) vs -0.49 in dopamine neurons. proposing astrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CX3CL1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up CX3CL1 · astrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.25 p 0.374 (needs p < 6.7e-4)

Receipts

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