Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CPLX2

complexin 2

translation score 0.38, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in late spermatids0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 700.85
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4096

Sealed predictions

  1. CPLX2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.05 (p 0.906) → -0.38 (p 0.311)receipt 4102

Swarm cases

receipt 4102: CPLX2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.46 (p 0.056, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.40 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CPLX2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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