Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

COL4A5

collagen type IV alpha 5 chain

translation score 0.60, read 2026-10-26; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in pituicytes/fscs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: collagenase clostridium histolyticum, ocriplasmin0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
15 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90
proposal for COL4A5, translation score 0.60

Knock down and overexpress COL4A5 in oligodendrocytes; measure proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.

Cell type
oligodendrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
Rule-out
If neither arm moves proteasome activity by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of COL4A5 in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein; α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. COL4A5 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.23 (p 0.551) → -0.11 (p 0.773)receipt 10603
  2. COL4A5 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.27 (p 0.485) → +0.74 (p 0.023)receipt 10602

Swarm cases

receipt 10603: COL4A5 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.658, n 18), 95% CI -0.37 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.16 (p 0.521, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.29 (p 0.246, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.02 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.658, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for COL4A5 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 10602: COL4A5 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.27 (p 0.285, n 18), 95% CI -0.23 to +0.65. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.29 (p 0.239, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.17 to +0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.27 (p 0.285, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for COL4A5 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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