Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

COL1A1

collagen type I alpha 1 chain

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-24; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: collagenase clostridium histolyticum, ocriplasmin0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
5 Parkinson's papers of 7,5650.76
pathways
Reactome
27 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8257

Sealed predictions

  1. COL1A1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.40 (p 0.285) → -0.55 (p 0.128)receipt 8266

Swarm cases

receipt 8266: COL1A1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.50 (p 0.034, n 18), 95% CI -0.78 to -0.04. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.52 (p 0.026, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.60 (p 0.0080, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.61 to -0.44, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.50 (p 0.034, n 18). robust.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.76 (p 2.9e-4, n 18) vs -0.50 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for COL1A1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up COL1A1 · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort: not measured

Receipts

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