Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CGAS

cyclic GMP-AMP synthase

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
106 Parkinson's papers of 7,7340.39
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2619

Sealed predictions

  1. CGAS in dopamine neurons, braak-0.37 (p 0.329) → -0.02 (p 0.964)receipt 2626

Swarm cases

receipt 2626: CGAS in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.24 (p 0.332, n 18), 95% CI -0.64 to +0.25. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.34 (p 0.170, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CGAS in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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