Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CDNF

cerebral dopamine neurotrophic factor

translation score 0.29, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
4 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
98 Parkinson's papers of 1660.40
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2468

Sealed predictions

  1. CDNF in dopamine neurons, braak-0.71 (p 0.032) → +0.44 (p 0.240)receipt 2475

Swarm cases

receipt 2475: CDNF in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.664, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.38. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.14 (p 0.573, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.16 (p 0.532, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.24 to -0.02, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CDNF in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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