Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CDC42BPB

CDC42 binding protein kinase beta

translation score 0.58, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.36 (overall 0.22)0.36
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30
proposal for CDC42BPB, translation score 0.58

Knock down and overexpress CDC42BPB in a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture; measure a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq) and dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge.

Cell type
a dopamine neuron, astrocyte and microglia tri-culture
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq)
Functional readout
dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge
Rule-out
If neither arm moves a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq) by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of CDC42BPB in a tri-culture of iPSC dopamine neurons, astrocytes and microglia; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq); dopamine neuron survival after α-synuclein fibril challenge. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. CDC42BPB in dopamine neurons, braak-0.62 (p 0.073) → -0.11 (p 0.773)receipt 1905

Swarm cases

receipt 1905: CDC42BPB in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.35 (p 0.160, n 18), 95% CI -0.70 to +0.14. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.35 (p 0.149, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.39 (p 0.107, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.48 to -0.26, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.35 (p 0.160, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: -0.68 (p 0.0018, n 18) vs -0.35 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CDC42BPB in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up CDC42BPB · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.22 p 0.424 (needs p < 8.2e-4)

Receipts

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