Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CD86

CD86 molecule

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched, including microglia; strongest in cdc0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody: belatacept, abatacept0.45
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
27 Parkinson's papers of 12,5540.56
pathways
Reactome
9 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7388

Sealed predictions

  1. CD86 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.45 (p 0.222) → +0.28 (p 0.470)receipt 7397
  2. CD86 in microglia, braak+0.48 (p 0.186) → -0.66 (p 0.054)receipt 7396

Swarm cases

receipt 7397: CD86 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.28 (p 0.254, n 18), 95% CI -0.21 to +0.66. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.28 (p 0.254, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.26 (p 0.302, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.20 to +0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.28 (p 0.254, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CD86 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 7396: CD86 in microglia, braak

power
full sample -0.10 (p 0.702, n 18), 95% CI -0.54 to +0.39. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.10 (p 0.702, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: -0.07 (p 0.781, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.23 to +0.01, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors -0.10 (p 0.702, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CD86 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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