Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CD40

CD40 molecule

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-23; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: lucatumumab, selicrelumab, sotigalimab +70.81
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
20 Parkinson's papers of 15,8540.60
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 7166

Sealed predictions

  1. CD40 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.14 (p 0.716) → +0.28 (p 0.472)receipt 7173

Swarm cases

receipt 7173: CD40 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18), 95% CI -0.46 to +0.47. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.03 (p 0.908, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.00 (p 0.997, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.12 to +0.11, sign flips 7; without severely affected donors +0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CD40 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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