Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CARD9

caspase recruitment domain family member 9

translation score 0.52, read 2026-10-26; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched in microglia (23 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 6640.79
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10554

Sealed predictions

  1. CARD9 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.81 (p 0.008) → +0.14 (p 0.724)receipt 10562
  2. CARD9 in microglia, braak-0.02 (p 0.962) → -0.19 (p 0.618)receipt 10561

Swarm cases

receipt 10562: CARD9 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.42 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CARD9 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 10561: CARD9 in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.12 (p 0.633, n 18), 95% CI -0.37 to +0.56. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.02 to +0.28, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.12 (p 0.633, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CARD9 in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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