Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

CAMSAP1

calmodulin regulated spectrin associated protein 1

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5712

Sealed predictions

  1. CAMSAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.35 (p 0.360) → -0.27 (p 0.474)receipt 5720

Swarm cases

receipt 5720: CAMSAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18), 95% CI -0.68 to +0.18. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.33 (p 0.179, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.43 (p 0.072, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.43 to -0.21, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in oligodendrocytes: -0.72 (p 7.0e-4, n 18) vs -0.31 in dopamine neurons. proposing oligodendrocytes.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for CAMSAP1 in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up CAMSAP1 · oligodendrocytes · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.32 p 0.248 (needs p < 3.5e-4)

Receipts

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