Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BIRC5

baculoviral IAP repeat containing 5

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-25; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: svn53-67/m57-klh peptide vaccine, gataparsen0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 1,3990.82
pathways
Reactome
10 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 10135

Sealed predictions

  1. BIRC5 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.26 (p 0.493) → -0.23 (p 0.554)receipt 10141

Swarm cases

receipt 10141: BIRC5 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.07 (p 0.794, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.04 (p 0.888, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.21 to +0.03, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.820, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BIRC5 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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