Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BDP1

BDP1 general transcription factor IIIB subunit

translation score 0.47, read 2026-10-28; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.00 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 12530

Sealed predictions

  1. BDP1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.51 (p 0.165) → -0.27 (p 0.476)receipt 12538

Swarm cases

receipt 12538: BDP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18), 95% CI -0.47 to +0.46. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.03 (p 0.922, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.13 (p 0.597, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.13 to +0.11, sign flips 9; without severely affected donors -0.01 (p 0.976, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BDP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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