Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

BAG2

BAG cochaperone 2

translation score 0.34, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.08 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
9 Parkinson's papers of 2950.70
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3208

Sealed predictions

  1. BAG2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.57 (p 0.111) → +0.01 (p 0.982)receipt 3214

Swarm cases

receipt 3214: BAG2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.56 (p 0.015, n 18), 95% CI +0.13 to +0.82. the interval excludes zero: something may be there, smaller than a half can see.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.52 (p 0.027, n 18). holds up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.51 (p 0.031, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.51 to +0.63, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.56 (p 0.015, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for BAG2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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