Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATP1A2

ATPase Na+/K+ transporting subunit alpha 2

translation score 0.51, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in myonuclei0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: digoxin, deslanoside, lanatoside c +31.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
10 Parkinson's papers of 4300.69
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5799

Sealed predictions

  1. ATP1A2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.14 (p 0.722) → -0.44 (p 0.233)receipt 5809
  2. ATP1A2 in astrocytes, braak+0.04 (p 0.928) → +0.05 (p 0.907)receipt 5808

Swarm cases

receipt 5809: ATP1A2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18), 95% CI -0.65 to +0.23. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.25 (p 0.315, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.25 (p 0.323, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.40 to -0.19, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.26 (p 0.294, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATP1A2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5808: ATP1A2 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18), 95% CI -0.44 to +0.49. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.847, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.03 (p 0.901, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.10 to +0.18, sign flips 6; without severely affected donors +0.03 (p 0.894, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATP1A2 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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