Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATM

ATM serine/threonine kinase

translation score 0.55, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.31 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in microglia (697 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
2 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
50 Parkinson's papers of 22,2620.48
pathways
Reactome
28 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 1205

Sealed predictions

  1. ATM in microglia, braak+0.11 (p 0.787) → +0.14 (p 0.718)receipt 1213
  2. ATM in dopamine neurons, braak-0.26 (p 0.499) → -0.23 (p 0.549)receipt 1214

Swarm cases

receipt 1214: ATM in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.19 (p 0.439, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.30. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.17 (p 0.493, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.35 to -0.09, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.19 (p 0.439, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATM in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 1213: ATM in microglia, braak

power
full sample +0.11 (p 0.652, n 18), 95% CI -0.37 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.18 (p 0.471, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
microglia share of nuclei vs axis -0.11 (p 0.652); controlling for it: +0.15 (p 0.561, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.27, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.652, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATM in microglia.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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