Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ATG16L1

autophagy related 16 like 1

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
20 Parkinson's papers of 1,1290.60
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly lysosome and autophagy1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5884

Sealed predictions

  1. ATG16L1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.23 (p 0.554) → -0.53 (p 0.145)receipt 5890

Swarm cases

receipt 5890: ATG16L1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.20 (p 0.418, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.29. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.27 (p 0.285, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.48 (p 0.043, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.11, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.20 (p 0.418, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ATG16L1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts