Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ASIC1

acid sensing ion channel subunit 1

translation score 0.53, read 2026-10-24; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced in oligodendrocyte progenitor cells (106 nCPM)1.00
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 3060.85
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8154

Sealed predictions

  1. ASIC1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.29 (p 0.449) → +0.22 (p 0.563)receipt 8194
  2. ASIC1 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.51 (p 0.157) → -0.08 (p 0.838)receipt 8193

Swarm cases

receipt 8194: ASIC1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.10 (p 0.690, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.23 (p 0.360, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.20 to +0.02, sign flips 2; without severely affected donors -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ASIC1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 8193: ASIC1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.16 (p 0.532, n 18), 95% CI -0.58 to +0.33. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.13 (p 0.597, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.13 (p 0.609, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.05, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.16 (p 0.532, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ASIC1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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