Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ASCL1

achaete-scute family bHLH transcription factor 1

translation score 0.37, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.04 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in corticotrophs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
24 Parkinson's papers of 1,2440.58
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5747

Sealed predictions

  1. ASCL1 in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → -0.33 (p 0.383)receipt 5754
  2. ASCL1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.69 (p 0.038) → +0.49 (p 0.182)receipt 5755

Swarm cases

receipt 5755: ASCL1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.18 (p 0.487, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.32. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.33 to -0.05, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.18 (p 0.487, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ASCL1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5754: ASCL1 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.20 (p 0.429, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.30. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.19 (p 0.455, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.29 to -0.08, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.20 (p 0.429, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ASCL1 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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