Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARNT2

aryl hydrocarbon receptor nuclear translocator 2

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-22; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in ependymal cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6602

Sealed predictions

  1. ARNT2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.00 (p 1.000) → -0.42 (p 0.258)receipt 6611
  2. ARNT2 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.26 (p 0.502) → +0.32 (p 0.399)receipt 6610

Swarm cases

receipt 6611: ARNT2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.17 (p 0.498, n 18), 95% CI -0.59 to +0.32. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.33 (p 0.185, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.29 to -0.06, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.17 (p 0.498, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARNT2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 6610: ARNT2 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.13 (p 0.615, n 18), 95% CI -0.56 to +0.36. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.15 (p 0.561, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.18 (p 0.482, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.29 to +0.00, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors -0.13 (p 0.615, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARNT2 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts