Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARNT

aryl hydrocarbon receptor nuclear translocator

translation score 0.39, read 2026-10-17; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.35 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
3 Parkinson's trials, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
18 Parkinson's papers of 2,6510.61
pathways
Reactome
7 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 0875

Sealed predictions

  1. ARNT in dopamine neurons, braak+0.13 (p 0.733) → +0.37 (p 0.334)receipt 0882

Swarm cases

receipt 0882: ARNT in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.32 (p 0.194, n 18), 95% CI -0.17 to +0.69. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.29 (p 0.243, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.38 (p 0.123, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.24 to +0.49, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.32 (p 0.194, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARNT in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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