Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARID3B

AT-rich interaction domain 3B

translation score 0.43, read 2026-10-18; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.24 (overall 0.14)0.24
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
in no curated pathway0.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2208

Sealed predictions

  1. ARID3B in dopamine neurons, braak+0.23 (p 0.551) → -0.35 (p 0.360)receipt 2217

Swarm cases

receipt 2217: ARID3B in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.800, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.11 (p 0.664, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.05, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.800, n 18). fragile.
cell type
strongest in microglia: -0.74 (p 5.0e-4, n 18) vs -0.06 in dopamine neurons. proposing microglia.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARID3B in dopamine neurons.

follow-up registered; not confirmed in substantia nigra, an independent cohort.
follow-up ARID3B · microglia · braak: substantia nigra, an independent cohort (Parkinson's or LBD vs controls) -0.35 p 0.214 (needs p < 7.2e-4)

Receipts

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