Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ARHGEF2

Rho/Rac guanine nucleotide exchange factor 2

translation score 0.58, read 2026-10-18; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
genetic association 0.18 (overall 0.11)0.18
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocytes; strongest in neutrophils0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly other0.30
proposal for ARHGEF2, translation score 0.58

Knock down and overexpress ARHGEF2 in oligodendrocytes; measure a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq) and α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress.

Cell type
oligodendrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq)
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress
Rule-out
If neither arm moves a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq) by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of ARHGEF2 in iPSC-derived oligodendrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: a transcriptome-wide state shift (bulk RNA-seq); α-synuclein uptake and myelin basic protein output under oxidative stress. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. ARHGEF2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.06 (p 0.877) → -0.54 (p 0.130)receipt 2458
  2. ARHGEF2 in oligodendrocytes, braak-0.39 (p 0.297) → -0.36 (p 0.344)receipt 2457

Swarm cases

receipt 2458: ARHGEF2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.31 (p 0.214, n 18), 95% CI -0.68 to +0.19. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.31 (p 0.214, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.31 (p 0.207, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.46 to -0.22, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.31 (p 0.214, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARHGEF2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 2457: ARHGEF2 in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18), 95% CI -0.62 to +0.27. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: -0.26 (p 0.289, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.34 to -0.14, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.22 (p 0.374, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ARHGEF2 in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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