Six readers
| reader | found | score |
|---|---|---|
| genetics Open Targets | no genetic evidence; overall 0.11 from other evidence | 0.00 |
| cell type Human Protein Atlas | cell type enhanced in astrocytes (743 nCPM) | 1.00 |
| chemistry Open Targets | reachable by antibody | 0.45 |
| trials ClinicalTrials.gov | 1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped | 1.00 |
| literature PubMed | 93 Parkinson's papers of 5,957 | 0.40 |
| pathways Reactome | 2 pathways; mostly other | 0.30 |
No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2503
Sealed predictions
- AQP4 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.47 (p 0.204) → -0.05 (p 0.891)receipt 2511
- AQP4 in astrocytes, braak-0.29 (p 0.456) → -0.24 (p 0.533)receipt 2510
Swarm cases
receipt 2511: AQP4 in dopamine neurons, braak
- power
- full sample +0.11 (p 0.671, n 18), 95% CI -0.38 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: +0.08 (p 0.748, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.10 (p 0.696, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.19, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.11 (p 0.671, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AQP4 in dopamine neurons.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
receipt 2510: AQP4 in astrocytes, braak
- power
- full sample -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
- confounder
- adjusted for sex: -0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). does not hold up.
- composition
- astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.16 (p 0.515, n 18). could be the mix.
- skeptic
- leave-one-out range -0.36 to -0.12, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). fragile.
- cell type
- no other cell group does better.
- axis
- no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AQP4 in astrocytes.
case closed: nothing better to follow up.
Receipts
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