Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

APOD

apolipoprotein D

translation score 0.45, read 2026-10-19; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including oligodendrocyte progenitor cells; strongest in decidual stromal cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
1 Parkinson's trial, 0 stopped1.00
literature
PubMed
15 Parkinson's papers of 6680.64
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2705

Sealed predictions

  1. APOD in dopamine neurons, braak+0.37 (p 0.321) → -0.05 (p 0.894)receipt 2714
  2. APOD in oligodendrocytes, braak+0.30 (p 0.428) → +0.09 (p 0.825)receipt 2713

Swarm cases

receipt 2714: APOD in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.09 (p 0.728, n 18), 95% CI -0.40 to +0.53. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.04 (p 0.861, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.40 (p 0.099, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.03 to +0.17, sign flips 3; without severely affected donors +0.09 (p 0.728, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APOD in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 2713: APOD in oligodendrocytes, braak

power
full sample +0.17 (p 0.504, n 18), 95% CI -0.32 to +0.59. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.09 (p 0.735, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
oligodendrocytes share of nuclei vs axis +0.03 (p 0.915); controlling for it: +0.30 (p 0.225, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.06 to +0.30, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.17 (p 0.504, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APOD in oligodendrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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