Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

APLNR

apelin receptor

translation score 0.49, read 2026-10-23; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.02 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
group enriched, including astrocytes; strongest in vascular endothelial cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket: apelin0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 2520.82
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 8019

Sealed predictions

  1. APLNR in dopamine neurons, braak-0.53 (p 0.146) → +0.07 (p 0.856)receipt 8026
  2. APLNR in astrocytes, braak-0.23 (p 0.549) → +0.10 (p 0.807)receipt 8025

Swarm cases

receipt 8026: APLNR in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18), 95% CI -0.63 to +0.26. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.24 (p 0.341, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.26 (p 0.306, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.38 to -0.12, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.23 (p 0.355, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APLNR in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 8025: APLNR in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18), 95% CI -0.52 to +0.41. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.07, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.07 (p 0.787, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for APLNR in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

loading the receipts