Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ALS2

alsin Rho guanine nucleotide exchange factor ALS2

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in hematopoietic stem cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 2650.79
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly vesicle traffic1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 4107

Sealed predictions

  1. ALS2 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.63 (p 0.067) → +0.17 (p 0.656)receipt 4116

Swarm cases

receipt 4116: ALS2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.39 (p 0.107, n 18), 95% CI -0.09 to +0.73. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.42 (p 0.084, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.66 (p 0.0031, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.31 to +0.54, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.39 (p 0.107, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ALS2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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