Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AKR1C3

aldo-keto reductase family 1 member C3

translation score 0.46, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
6 Parkinson's papers of 8210.74
pathways
Reactome
6 pathways; mostly energy0.60

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5376

Sealed predictions

  1. AKR1C3 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.61 (p 0.078) → +0.30 (p 0.428)receipt 5383

Swarm cases

receipt 5383: AKR1C3 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.43 (p 0.079, n 18), 95% CI -0.05 to +0.74. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.40 (p 0.103, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.35 to +0.52, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.43 (p 0.079, n 18). robust.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AKR1C3 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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