Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AIM2

absent in melanoma 2

translation score 0.39, read 2026-10-22; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.03 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
22 Parkinson's trials, 3 stopped0.89
literature
PubMed
16 Parkinson's papers of 2,0150.63
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly immune signalling0.90

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 6411

Sealed predictions

  1. AIM2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.32 (p 0.407) → +0.45 (p 0.227)receipt 6418

Swarm cases

receipt 6418: AIM2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.12 (p 0.640, n 18), 95% CI -0.37 to +0.55. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.14 (p 0.591, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.09 (p 0.715, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.01 to +0.23, sign flips 1; without severely affected donors +0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AIM2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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