Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AGAP2

ArfGAP with GTPase domain, ankyrin repeat and PH domain 2

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-25; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.01 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in neutrophils0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
hard to drug0.40
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
1 pathway; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 9703

Sealed predictions

  1. AGAP2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.29 (p 0.457) → -0.35 (p 0.362)receipt 9709

Swarm cases

receipt 9709: AGAP2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.33 (p 0.185, n 18), 95% CI -0.69 to +0.16. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.30 (p 0.232, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.53 (p 0.025, n 18). not the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.44 to -0.24, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.33 (p 0.185, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AGAP2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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