Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

AFG3L2

AFG3 like matrix AAA peptidase subunit 2

translation score 0.50, read 2026-10-20; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.07 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
expressed broadly, no clear home in brain cells0.40
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
8 Parkinson's papers of 1500.71
pathways
Reactome
2 pathways; mostly mitochondrial quality control1.00

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 3785

Sealed predictions

  1. AFG3L2 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.47 (p 0.204) → -0.18 (p 0.646)receipt 3792

Swarm cases

receipt 3792: AFG3L2 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.677, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.38. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.12 (p 0.646, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.05 (p 0.834, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.27 to -0.02, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.677, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for AFG3L2 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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