Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ADCYAP1R1

ADCYAP receptor type I

translation score 0.48, read 2026-10-21; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 3 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in pituicytes/fscs0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
4 Parkinson's papers of 1070.79
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 5274

Sealed predictions

  1. ADCYAP1R1 in astrocytes, braak-0.42 (p 0.265) → -0.42 (p 0.262)receipt 5281
  2. ADCYAP1R1 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.15 (p 0.699) → -0.09 (p 0.819)receipt 5282

Swarm cases

receipt 5282: ADCYAP1R1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.04 (p 0.861, n 18), 95% CI -0.50 to +0.43. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.05 (p 0.854, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.29 (p 0.250, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.16 to +0.06, sign flips 5; without severely affected donors -0.04 (p 0.861, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADCYAP1R1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 5281: ADCYAP1R1 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.35 (p 0.159, n 18), 95% CI -0.70 to +0.14. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.36 (p 0.145, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.30 (p 0.221, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.44 to -0.26, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.35 (p 0.159, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADCYAP1R1 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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