Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ADCYAP1

adenylate cyclase activating polypeptide 1

translation score 0.40, read 2026-10-19; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.10 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enriched outside the brain (mast cells)0.10
chemistry
Open Targets
a small-molecule pocket0.60
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
2 Parkinson's papers of 2140.85
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly other0.30

No case: the score is under the bar. Receipt 2585

Sealed predictions

  1. ADCYAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak-0.56 (p 0.118) → +0.11 (p 0.787)receipt 2591

Swarm cases

receipt 2591: ADCYAP1 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18), 95% CI -0.51 to +0.42. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.06 (p 0.827, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.02 (p 0.935, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.22 to +0.03, sign flips 4; without severely affected donors -0.06 (p 0.807, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADCYAP1 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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