Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ADAMTS16

ADAM metallopeptidase with thrombospondin type 1 motif 16

translation score 0.57, read 2026-10-21; 1 sealed predictions, 0 held; 1 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.05 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including brain excitatory neurons; strongest in renal connecting tubule cells0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
reachable by antibody0.36
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
no papers tie it to Parkinson's yet1.00
pathways
Reactome
3 pathways; mostly protein handling0.90
proposal for ADAMTS16, translation score 0.57

Knock down and overexpress ADAMTS16 in dopamine neurons; measure proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein and survival of TH-positive neurons and phospho-α-synuclein (pS129) inclusions after seeding with α-synuclein fibrils.

Cell type
dopamine neurons
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein
Functional readout
survival of TH-positive neurons and phospho-α-synuclein (pS129) inclusions after seeding with α-synuclein fibrils
Rule-out
If neither arm moves proteasome activity by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of ADAMTS16 in iPSC-derived midbrain dopamine neurons (FOXA2+, LMX1A+, TH+); n = 3 differentiations; readouts: proteasome activity and the load of ubiquitinated protein; survival of TH-positive neurons and phospho-α-synuclein (pS129) inclusions after seeding with α-synuclein fibrils. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. ADAMTS16 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.25 (p 0.520) → -0.42 (p 0.260)receipt 5394

Swarm cases

receipt 5394: ADAMTS16 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample -0.11 (p 0.658, n 18), 95% CI -0.55 to +0.37. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.18 (p 0.471, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: -0.24 (p 0.346, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.24 to -0.00, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.11 (p 0.658, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ADAMTS16 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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