Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Gene record

ABCC9

ATP binding cassette subfamily C member 9

translation score 0.63, read 2026-10-17; 2 sealed predictions, 0 held; 2 receipts.

Six readers

readerfoundscore
genetics
Open Targets
no genetic evidence; overall 0.38 from other evidence0.00
cell type
Human Protein Atlas
cell type enhanced, including astrocytes; strongest in myonuclei0.75
chemistry
Open Targets
compounds already reach it: pinacidil, minoxidil1.00
trials
ClinicalTrials.gov
no Parkinson's trials on record: an open field1.00
literature
PubMed
3 Parkinson's papers of 2390.82
pathways
Reactome
4 pathways; mostly dopamine synapse1.00
proposal for ABCC9, translation score 0.63

Knock down and overexpress ABCC9 in astrocytes; measure evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake and α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture.

Cell type
astrocytes
Direction
Both arms: public data does not say which way helps.
Molecular readout
evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake
Functional readout
α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture
Rule-out
If neither arm moves evoked dopamine release by 20% or more against non-targeting and empty-vector controls, across three independent differentiations, the hypothesis is wrong.
Lab request
CRISPRi knockdown and lentiviral overexpression of ABCC9 in iPSC-derived midbrain astrocytes; n = 3 differentiations; readouts: evoked dopamine release and dopamine transporter uptake; α-synuclein uptake and degradation, and dopamine neuron survival in co-culture. Controls: non-targeting guide, empty vector. About 8 to 10 weeks, most of it differentiation.

Sealed predictions

  1. ABCC9 in dopamine neurons, braak+0.07 (p 0.855) → +0.41 (p 0.277)receipt 0687
  2. ABCC9 in astrocytes, braak+0.48 (p 0.187) → -0.59 (p 0.098)receipt 0686

Swarm cases

receipt 0687: ABCC9 in dopamine neurons, braak

power
full sample +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18), 95% CI -0.25 to +0.64. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: +0.25 (p 0.310, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
dopamine neurons share of nuclei vs axis +0.05 (p 0.854); controlling for it: +0.23 (p 0.351, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range +0.16 to +0.40, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors +0.24 (p 0.332, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ABCC9 in dopamine neurons.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

receipt 0686: ABCC9 in astrocytes, braak

power
full sample -0.20 (p 0.424, n 18), 95% CI -0.61 to +0.29. the interval is wide: not enough donors to tell.
confounder
adjusted for sex: -0.27 (p 0.281, n 18). does not hold up.
composition
astrocytes share of nuclei vs axis -0.21 (p 0.413); controlling for it: -0.12 (p 0.640, n 18). could be the mix.
skeptic
leave-one-out range -0.31 to -0.08, sign flips 0; without severely affected donors -0.20 (p 0.424, n 18). fragile.
cell type
no other cell group does better.
axis
no measure beats "tracks Braak Lewy-body stage" for ABCC9 in astrocytes.

case closed: nothing better to follow up.

Receipts

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