Braak stage 1, 100% of pigmented neurons left
parkinsonconnecting

Receipt 10870

A sealed prediction that did not hold.

no effect in discovery (spearman rho -0.44, p 0.240). This receipt's hash covers every field on it, plus the hash of receipt 10869, so changing any earlier receipt would break every one after it. Your browser recomputes it below.

The slip

  1. PARKINSON RECEIPTno. 10870
    26 Oct 2026, 13:10 UTC


    GPNMB

    microglia, braak


    predictionGPNMB in microglia tracks Braak Lewy-body stage

    registereda846cd3a2784141a

    discovery-0.44 p=0.240 n=9

    replication+0.25 p=0.514 n=9

    neededp < 0.05 twice, same sign


    no effect in discovery (spearman rho -0.44, p 0.240)

    dataVolpato et al. 2025, ventral substantia nigra (18 donors)

    NO EFFECT

    df463cd172b0ebf73855ca58…
    follows a4e16ffc8ca4…

Covered by the on-chain checkpoint of receipt 10891 (2026-10-26 13:43 UTC). See the checkpoint on Robinhood Chain. Previous receipt Next